乌克兰情报称朝鲜拟增兵三万援俄，俄朝双方为此做了哪些部署准备？此次增援将如何影响俄乌战场格局？ - 综合电报群，FB，BBC，CNN等大型媒...

综合电报群，FB，BBC，CNN等大型媒体背书的公开消息以及英方的开源报告里的可信部分，朝鲜军队并不是什么架起一锅肉汤就能被吸引来投降或者愚昧到对现代战争一无所知只会万岁冲锋的单位，相反，他们体格健壮，主动性强，具备侵略性，内部十分团结。

North Korean troops were reportedly fit, motivated and aggressive and had good internal unit cohesion^[1].

1.朝鲜军队体能良好，战术动作优秀。枪法好，有能力十分精确地用枪击落无人机。

Vlad said the soldiers appeared fit, fast and quick to maneuver...Maksym, a Ukrainian drone operator, said the North Koreans seemed to take such instructions to heart. He noticed how they calmly stood in fields and shot at drones with rifles "very precisely." "They shot down my drones multiple times," Maksym said^[2].

2.朝鲜军队有能力在长距离隐蔽行军数十公里之后保持建制并且立即发动进攻。被缴获的朝军战术手册上记录了一次典型案例：三个营隐蔽行军40~50公里，成功迂回到乌军的侧翼并同时从正面和侧翼进攻将乌军击败，全程耗时31小时。

From the departure waiting area to the attack starting point, the 1st Battalion advanced stealthily for 50 km, the 7th Battalion for 41 km, and the 10th Battalion for 43 km. We attacked the enemy from unexpected directions—north and east-west of the residential and forest areas—and swiftly concluded the battle 31 hours later. In particular, the 1st battalion made use of forests and cover to stealthily advance 9 km away from a drop-off point, and crossed the Psel River with three small boats, carrying only 2-3 people at a time. During the battle, the enemy put up a strong defense by relying on supporting positions, but we succeeded by attacking from both the front and the flank, creating favorable conditions for a decisive conclusion^[3].

3.在进攻中和极其迅速，战术动作敏捷，以至于无人机难以捕捉。

"They're very maneuverable and they run and move very quickly," he said. "They’re hard to catch, especially with a drone," Amur added, explaining that they often weave an indirect path towards Ukrainian defenses, as if trained to not run in a straight line^[4].

4.朝鲜军队被评估为意志顽强，能够极大程度克服物质条件的不足以及环境的恶劣。

These soldiers are "trained to withstand a high degree of physical pain and psychological torture", says Michael Madden, a North Korea expert from the Stimson Center in Washington.^[5]

5.朝鲜士兵们更倾向于少带食物补给，多带弹药和武器，甚至于不带防弹插板和头盔（这样跑得更快），乌军缴获的朝军背包里通常满载弹药武器而几乎没有食物饮水。

Amur, a company commander, said some North Koreans removed their helmets and the heavy protective plates from their body armour, to make them lighter on their feet and enable a faster assault at Ukrainian positions...Amur showed CNN military equipment obtained from a fallen North Korean soldier, including a new issue rucksack that Amur said contained the bare minimum for survival but was laden with ammunition."In their backpacks is the minimum of water, small bottles - up to a liter," Amur said. "There are no additional warm clothes - no hats, no scarves, nothing^[4]."

6.朝鲜军队不投降，多次出现死战不退和自戕的记录，甚至有伤员用试图用手榴弹和乌军同归于尽（CNN报道，有视频为证）。

"They do not surrender," Shyriaiev said of Pyongyang's troops. "I don't remember any cases where we have been able to take them captive. We have taken some who were already wounded, but I think they died from their wounds^[6]."
CNN has gained a rare insight into the world of North Korean troops fighting for Russia in interviews with Ukrainian special operations forces who told CNN the North Koreans they faced in intense fighting did not surrender. In one video, shared with CNN, a Ukrainian soldier approaches an injured North Korean soldier who was lying face down, during clashes. As the Ukrainian pulls the North Korean soldier's leg to see if he is still alive, the North Korean lets out a scream in Korean before detonating a grenade next to his head^[4].

7.迄今为止能够核实身份的朝鲜俘虏只有两人，都是受伤被俘而非主动投降。这与所谓朝鲜军队阵亡数千人的说法存在一定冲突。

South Korean intelligence on Sunday confirmed that Ukraine captured two wounded North Korean soldiers in Russia earlier this week^[7].

8.朝鲜军队多以营连级建制发起进攻，能够在承受大量伤亡后仍然将乌军赶出阵地，使乌军针对俄军特化的防御体系失效。

North Korean troops tended to conduct attacks in company or battalion strength on a single sector. The Ukrainians were able to inflict mass casualties during these attacks, but the North Koreans often overwhelmed the Ukrainian defenders'positions, which were sparse, optimised to counter Russian tactics^[1].

9.朝鲜军队的无人机战术是弱项，在进攻中被无人机大量杀伤。

Other papers contained the radio codes of the North Korean force, but also contained notes on new tactics to counter drone attacks, from which Amur said North Koreans had suffered major losses."My unit could take out about 30 enemy soldiers in a day's work, just by throwing grenades on their heads. They didn’t understand what to do," he said^[4].

10.从缴获的朝鲜军队战术手册来看（在库尔斯克州地区一名朝鲜士兵身上发现的文件 - 自娱自乐的文章 - 知乎在库尔斯克州地区一名朝鲜士兵身上发现的文件，也可直接绕步注释3^[3]），朝鲜军队对现代战争认识十分清晰，完全认识到自己的短板，有针对乌方技术优势对己方战术进行不断改进，包括将战斗小组拆散为2~3人的战术小队以减少伤亡，避免公路行军，预先打击对方无人机和炮兵发射点，在基层部队中组建无人机团队和反无人机团队，通过直接射击，使用干扰器和反无人机弹药等来对抗无人机。

11.朝鲜军队在进攻中不留俘虏，无论朝军内部还是乌军都汇报了大量杀俘事件，以至于朝军内部认为这样做不利于继续进攻。

Amur described a ruthless opponent. "They don’t take our prisoners. All of our servicemen we found are shot in the back of the head^[4]."
Although we hoped that some enemy soldiers, terrified by our troops’ superior shooting skills and speed, would demand to surrender and be captured alive, our combatants, who saw our other comrades fall, ruthlessly killed those attempting to surrender. This only made the enemy resist more fiercely and prolonged the battle^[3].

12.与一般刻板印象相反，朝鲜军队并不会抛弃伤员，相反，朝军内部多次出现不顾风险援助伤员导致伤亡增大的案例，侧面印证了RUSI报告中关于朝鲜军队内部十分团结的结论。

In some instances, when soldiers were injured during combat, some rushed to rescue them without considering the enemy's gunfire, artillery, or drone strikes, resulting in additional casualties. Over 10 such incidents were reported^[3].

————

评论区提到的伤亡问题，有必要说一下，即使是以死战不降顽抗到底而闻名的日本帝国陆军，其阵亡：被俘的最高比例也不过是北缅战役时期的120：1而已（17166阵亡，142被俘，见《菊与刀》）。

日军被全歼的大规模会战如硫磺岛战役，22703阵亡，1083被俘，阵亡被俘比21：1。

冲绳岛战役，9.5万阵亡，7455被俘，阵亡被俘比13：1。

日军未遭大规模歼灭的大规模会战如第三次长沙会战，国军报毙伤1万人以上，俘139人，伤亡（注意不是阵亡）被俘比73：1。

日军在后方游击战和治安战中的伤亡，如晋绥军区1937年至1942年与日伪交手5287次，毙伤日伪76850人，俘日军312人，伤亡被俘比246：1。

再举个例子吧，哪怕明确执行汉尼拔指令，允许战斗指挥官采取包括危及士兵生命的一切手段防止士兵被俘虏的的IDF，在2006年黎以冲突中仍有两名军人受伤被俘，阵亡被俘比为60：1。

所以朝军仅有两人被俘和乌军宣称的朝军几千人阵亡，超过1000：1的阵亡被俘比，这个比例显然不符合实际情况。考虑到仅仅两名朝鲜俘虏就被各大媒体连篇累牍地报告，所以我认为乌克兰拿不出更多的朝鲜俘虏来接受采访了，所以我倾向于朝鲜军队在乌克兰并未遭遇那么严重的损失。

参考

编辑于 2025-08-01 18:29・湖南